june 1 -504 then june 3 511? COME ON! then it was going down again , then up ?
The reasonable explanation for that are lapsed Patrons who did not intend to drop support and once informed they are no longer a Patron by email, they re-subscribe. There are probably two options with becoming a Patron - auto-renew and ones that have to opt in at the end of the month. Even before the scandal broke, he got small downward spikes at the end of the month but nothing near to what he's getting ever since - typically 20-30 followers gone.
What is hurting him now is what was mentioned earlier - lack of interesting content because he no longer has leaks and collaborators that will join him other than a fan who wants him to interview them. The channel is stagnant right now with very little energy. Also you need to factor in the fact he is quite open about suing people, how much it is costing him to do so, and his excessive holiday schedule. Lloyd had a reputation amongst those who knew no better that he was a "paycheck to paycheck" type of guy and the YouTube demonitisations were hurting him greatly. Now even supporters can see he's not hurting for money which makes dropping patronage much easier. His wholesome family man image also helped as many believed it was a great thing that his wife and daughters were supported as well. Now that image is gone and it's clear that funds are going to a single man who tries to date Instagram models, goes on dating holidays to London during the Jubilee and practically rubs it in everyone's face that he's spending his money how he pleases.